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As the year draws to a close and the festive season approaches, a small but telling economic reality confronts consumers across markets: chocolates are not getting cheaper. This is not merely anecdotal. Despite a meaningful correction in cocoa prices over the past year, the cost of confectionery products has remained stubbornly elevated.

The disconnect between falling commodity prices and persistent retail inflation offers more than a seasonal talking point. It provides a revealing case study in how commodity shocks propagate through supply chains, how markets adapt to extremes, and why inflation, once embedded, rarely unwinds as neatly as it appears on price charts.